Market View 02 November 2026

The maturing CTRM buyer: why the licence fee is only the start of the cost

By David Glasspool, Director of Sales and Marketing, Amphora

In brief The CTRM buyer in 2026 is a more mature one. Gary Vasey of Commodity Technology Advisory wrote in August 2026 that price volatility no longer drives the CTRM market the way it once did, with growth more moderate and spreading across more areas. The firm’s 2026 outlook names modernisation, cloud adoption, regulatory demands and the replacement of ageing platforms as the forces at work, and its July 2026 pricing paper adds that implementation, integration, organisational change and running costs frequently dwarf the initial software purchase. Ask most vendors what a CTRM buyer wants and you hear a list of features. Ask the independent analysts and the answer is different. The buyer walking into a CTRM evaluation in 2026 is working from another set of questions, and most of them cannot be answered by a demo.

How has the CTRM market changed in 2026?

The market has moved from reacting to volatility towards replacing and modernising systems. In an article on CTRM Center dated 27 August 2026, Gary Vasey of Commodity Technology Advisory (ComTech) wrote that price volatility no longer drives the CTRM market the way it once did, and described more moderate growth that is spreading across more areas. ComTech’s 2026 market outlook names modernisation, cloud adoption, regulatory demands and the replacement of ageing platforms among the forces reshaping the market. Gartner’s June 2025 Market Guide for Energy Trading and Risk Management points the same way for energy and utilities, framing modernisation as a response to changing wholesale market structures, new technology and volatility. I have left market-size figures out of this piece on purpose. Published estimates of the CTRM market differ too much to rely on, and the argument here does not need them.

Does volatility still drive CTRM buying decisions?

Less across the market as a whole, but it still decides individual firms. Vasey’s point is about the market. At client level I still see volatility as the trigger for companies that have outgrown their spreadsheets. When I spoke to CTRM Center in May 2026, I put it this way: “Volatility and risk exposure are forcing the upgrade.” Two groups do most of the moving: new trading start-ups that treat a trading system as day-one infrastructure, and firms three to five years old whose spreadsheets have stopped scaling. The two views fit together. Volatility explains when a firm moves. Modernisation and replacement explain why so many firms have a system to move from.

Why is the licence fee a misleading number?

Because it could be only part of what a CTRM costs. A July 2026 white paper from Commodity Technology Advisory argues that CTRM pricing is hard to compare: ask ten firms what an implemented CTRM costs and you hear “ten radically different answers”. It says implementation, integration, organisational change and ongoing operating costs frequently dwarf the initial software purchase. That changes what a fair comparison looks like. Two quotes with the same licence fee can sit a long way apart over ten years once those costs are counted. The question for each vendor is not what the licence costs. It is what a firm like yours spends in total over the life of the system, and what is and is not in the quote. Our guide to the selection process shows how to structure that comparison: How to choose a CTRM: a buyer’s guide to the selection process.

Why is integration with the finance stack now a buying question?

Because CTRM is moving closer to enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems. Chartis Research’s 2024 market update on CTRM systems describes CTRM becoming more formalised and moving closer to ERP platforms, and treats CTRM and ETRM as largely one continuum. A system that holds the trade record has to hand its numbers to finance cleanly, and the cost of doing that sits in the integration line the pricing paper flags. A buyer should ask each vendor to show how it works alongside the firm’s own finance system, not describe it, and to say what the quote includes for that work. The test is the same whichever integration the client requires. We cover the practical side in our piece on CTRM integrations.

What does a fragmented market mean for a buyer?

It means the vendor’s staying power is part of the risk assessment. Chartis expects the CTRM market to remain fragmented. CTRM engagements routinely run for ten years or more, so a buyer is choosing a partner as much as a product: how long the vendor has traded, whether the team that implements the system stays through the project, and whether the support team will still be there years later. We have written about this in why CTRM partner stability matters.

What should a maturing CTRM buyer ask first?

Six questions, none of which a demo can answer:

  1. What will this cost over ten years, including implementation, integration, change and running costs, and what is left out of the quote?
  2. How does it work alongside our current systems?
  3. How long has the vendor traded?
  4. Will the team that implements it still be here after go-live?
  5. What is the upgrade path, and does every client run on the same version?
  6. Can I speak to a client of similar size and commodity mix?

These are not features questions. The question “which system has the most features?” should also sit alongside “what is the total cost?” and “who will be here in year ten?”

Frequently asked questions

What is driving CTRM demand in 2026?

Gary Vasey of Commodity Technology Advisory wrote in August 2026 that price volatility no longer drives the CTRM market the way it once did, with growth more moderate and spread across more areas. The firm’s 2026 outlook names modernisation, cloud adoption, regulatory demands and the replacement of ageing platforms as the forces reshaping the market.

Why is the CTRM licence fee not the full cost?

Commodity Technology Advisory’s July 2026 pricing paper says implementation, integration, organisational change and ongoing operating costs frequently dwarf the initial software purchase, so quotes with similar licence fees can differ widely in total cost.

Is the CTRM market consolidated or fragmented?

Chartis Research’s 2024 market update expects the CTRM market to remain fragmented, and describes CTRM systems becoming more formalised and moving closer to ERP platforms.

How do CTRM and ERP systems fit together?

Chartis describes CTRM moving closer to ERP platforms. In practice a CTRM holds the trade record and passes financial results to the finance system, so a buyer should test the integration, and ask what the quote includes for it, before committing.

What should a buyer ask a CTRM vendor?

Six questions: the ten-year cost and what is left out of the quote, the fit with the finance software, how long the vendor has traded, who the implementation team is, the upgrade path and whether every client runs the same version, and a reference from a client of similar size and commodity mix.

Who is Amphora?

Amphora is a London-based commodity trading and risk management software company, founded in 1997.

Sources
Keep reading
How to choose a CTRM: a buyer’s guide to the selection process
Why CTRM partner stability matters
CTRM integrations
Commodity market volatility in 2026: why predictability, not price swings, is the real risk
About Amphora

Amphora is a global leader in commodity trading and risk management (CTRM) software, built for complexity and proven for over 30 years. Its Symphony and Alchemy platforms support the full trade lifecycle for firms trading crude oil, refined products, biofuels, coal, ore, LNG, metals and concentrates, delivered on a single-branch, highly configurable architecture with no forked code bases and no scripting. Amphora is delivered end-to-end by Amphora personnel from development and service centres in Dubai, the UK, India and the USA. Learn more at amphora.net.

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